Japanese rate decision: Thursday, early morning. The Bank of Japan already enacts the loosest monetary policy in the developed world by committing to keep the 10-year yields depressed and with a negative interest rate. Nevertheless, the BOJ is far from its 2% inflation target. Will Governor Haruhiko Kuroda and his colleagues offer something new? They may extend their pledge for low rates, but that will not convince markets.
UK retail sales: Thursday, 8:30. Just before the rate decision, retail sales data for May are projected to fall by 0.5% after remaining flat in April. The UK economy has suffered in April after a surge in March – all related to stockpiling ahead of Brexit – which has not happened. It is important to note that fluctuations are common in this figure.
BOE decision: Thursday, 11:00. The Bank of England has expressed its intention to raise interest rates to stay ahead of the curve on inflation and to have a buffer in case of a recession. However, high uncertainty regarding Brexit has paralyzed any policymaking. Does the BOE still project a smooth Brexit? Do they still intend to raise interest rates or will they follow their colleagues in ditching the idea?
JPY
Japanese rate decision
GBP
UK retail sales
BOE decision
- EURUSD
Update: We remain the same. As could be seen on the daily chart that the pair is traded below a strong resistance level that is 1.1447. One of our important findings on the chart is a bearish engulfing pattern that helped the USD to gain value against the EUR. Therefore, we are bearish as long as the pair is traded below the resistance level of 1.1447. Our first target is 1.1217.
| Resistance levels: | Support levels: | Recommended: |
| ▪ 1.1500 ▪ 1.1450 ▪ — |
▪ – ▪ – ▪ 1.1118 |
We are bearish as long as the pair is traded below the level of 1.1447 |
- GBPUSD
Update: Still waiting for some bullish evidence. As could be seen on the chart above shows that the pair is traded above a strong support level that is 1.25. Therefore, we are bullish as long as the pair is traded above it. Our first target is 1.2750.
| Resistance levels: | Support levels: | Recommended: |
| ▪ 1.36 ▪ 1.3310 ▪ 1.33 |
▪ – ▪ 1.25 ▪ 1.2450 |
We are bullish as long as the pair is traded above the support level of 1.25. |
- GOLD
Update: The pair reached the new high again which is where the pair can go down to reach the level of 1381. As could be seen on the chart above that the pair started going down (correction) in the opposite direction. Therefore, we will be waiting for the pair to reach the support level of 1365. This is where we can look for some bullish evidence.
| Resistance levels: | Support levels: | Recommended: |
| ▪ 1440 ▪ 1410 |
▪ 1365 ▪ 1260 ▪ 1265 |
Waiting for the pair to reach the support level of 1365. |
- AUDUSD
Update: Still traded below 0.7030. The chart above shows that the pair formed a bearish engulfing pattern below a strong resistance level that is 0.7030. We would be waiting for the pair to confirm its coming move with a bearish candle.
| Resistance levels: | Support levels: | Recommended: |
| ▪ 0.7550 ▪ 0.7600 ▪ 0.7000 |
▪ 0.6778 ▪ 0.68 ▪ – |
Waiting for the pair to confirm its coming move. |
- GBPJPY
Update: Still traded above the support level of 134. The chart above shows that the pair is traded above a strong support level that is 134. We are looking for some bullish evidence to show up above it, then we can go long targeting the level of 140. This is conditioned by the continuation of trading above the support level of 134.
| Resistance levels: | Support levels: | Recommended: |
| ▪ 156 ▪ 155 ▪ 141 |
▪ 134 ▪ 133 ▪ 132 |
Waiting for some bullish evidence to show up. |
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